Chungas Revenge
SILVER Star
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Very true, thats why if you're in a position to do so you do what you can before the economy hits rock bottom as many suppliers might go bust or decide to retire. l had this experience with a Wood Stove supplier l've used for years recently, so l bought out suitable grates & fixings for my log burner discounted 50%...l've enough parts to last me a few years. Same logic applies to the truck whilst l have the means l'll do whatever work needs done now as l don't know what's around the corner tomorrow. Tbh from what l see things are going to get worse before they get better, so it makes sense to stock up on essentials...In this economy anything paid for will be good. Make sure you have good tires and a plug kit. A new battery is a good investment. Everything was rationed during WWII, you couldn't get tires, batteries, hoses.
Same in the UK Bud.. Govt policies (the elites greed) is pushing everything up n up... l stock my freezers, buy from local farmers markets & l'm developing a small homestead...One word explanation... Bidenomics. I can't even buy steaks or groceries like I used to.
I just want to go on Record and Say there is not 1 thing on my 40 that is even remotely close to reminding me of a thrift store .Man, what a great thread. I’m 41 and kind of slot in with some of your who are around the same age. My opinions aren’t too far off. To be clear I daily a 60, and my first 40 is inbound from out of state, arriving in a month. Both are things that took some hunting to find the right deal that fit my blue collar budget, both will be dirtbag budget builds, and both will never see a shop because I can not afford to not do the labor myself. I also have two kids who are in middle & high school, but the younger generation is a whole other ball of wax.
Ok, with that out of the way … the market. I collect vintage guitars like a few of you, the bug bit me at 14 when a friend dragged a battered bottom of the barrel Teisco out of her grandparents closet and gifted it to me. I now have some modest but cool pieces all acquired through a small initial amount of cash and lots of horse trading upwards. I’ve also seemed to always date (and get married to, and divorced from, and married again) girls who are into thrift store clothes - finding really nice vintage stuff. Both markets mirror Land Cruisers almost exactly.
I think going back 20-30 years there was a generation that was dying out. Maybe early boomers, or the tail end of the sock hop generation before them. As they passed away, all these old things they owned came up for sale stupid cheap or was donated to thrift stores. Their kids didn’t want to deal with mom & dad’s old junk. And it really was old junk - technologically inferior, out of fashion, generally undesirable by 99% of society. And none of it was worth much. With guitars, the 1965 Fender Duo Sonic I now own was a student model guitar. Nobody wanted that, it was embarrassing to own. In the 90s they wanted the latest and greatest. Nevermind that it has essentially the same pickups as a 60s Strat that was still somewhat desirable to tone snobs and people chasing SRV’s sound. Off to the thrift store it went. Same went for “dad’s old truck”, that rusting piece of liability parked out behind the garage that he was going to get back on the road “some day”.
Fast forward to maybe 2005-2015. The younger generations - myself included - are facing an entirely different economic reality than the older generations. And another generation was aging into the afterlife, their junk being hocked to thrift stores and estate sales. Well, folks of my age are looking at living expenses that have risen at a much faster rate than wages, going back to about the early 80s. We’re hungry to make ends meet. We see people with niche hobbies and realized they wanted that old junk. We saw gold. It didn’t take long for folks older than us to catch on too. Everybody thought they had gold all of a sudden. eBay hit at exactly the right time to foster a boom in prices on literally anything that was old.
This fueled some tulip-style speculation and insanity in the markets. I saw it happen with Land Cruiser prices in the 20-teens, reaching an incredibly stupid fever pitch during Covid. Guitars too. “Grandpa’s old rusting hulk is worth $20,000, I know what I got, no offers accepted, cash on the barrel head only, I’ve seen the prices online!” Shoot I remember trying to buy a 4Runner as early as 2012 or so. For a decently priced one you had to be at the seller’s house within 30 minutes with cash in hand ready to buy without even a test drive, or it was already gone. Early 2nd gen basket cases were going for $3000-5000.
So where’s it going? Hopefully down. I think there’s something to be said for the thin slice of 25-45 year olds who could afford wildly priced toy trucks during the pandemic finding out they actually weren’t as into leaf springs and lack of a center console screen as they thought. People still want the “latest and greatest”. The size of the center console screen in a vehicle has become a sales point. On the other hand, here’s the crux of my theory I’ve been working on for 10+ years: I think 99% of the “cool old stuff” - be it trucks, guitars, or whatever - is into circulation with enthusiasts and collectors. The previous generations that had those things are pretty much gone and the days of finding a crazy deal from the old farmer down the road are gone. For all intents and purposes, none of that stuff is hiding anymore - it’s all into circulation. And so prices will stay relatively high, if there’s a cooling in the market it ain’t gonna cool too far.
And if y’all think Land Cruiser prices are high, you don’t know anything about the vintage clothes market, which my partner tracks religiously. JC Penney house brand jeans (cheap crap when new) from the 70s that are in tatters, just massive holes and stains everywhere - maybe $200. Most of the pieces can’t even be considered clothing anymore haha, they’re just a series of thinly connected rags!
I'm still in Florida unfortunately. I came down when we opened the base thinking we'd be here 2-3 years. Here we are 8 years later. I retire in 10 years, then we will be back out west. I can't wait! I've been looking at land in Wyoming for a cabin. I'm starting to look for another 40 series to keep there.Are you really back in New Mexico or still back in the South East? Read your previous posted and it sounded familiar. Chances of two members from both NM and Australia seemed highly unlikely.
Much want, no money or room.
Well... my dad has a '36 Hupmobile. They actually still have the spare parts factory, you just have to dig through it because it's jammed full of all the parts... including the wooden wheels of the older model.Also, based upon my experience, buy what you want in perfect running condition and have it inspected FIRST. Plan on $3-4000 in upgrades immediately after purchase (tires, brakes, and other minor things it needs). If you don't have the extra repair cash, don't do it.
I do repairs for a living. No one is prepared for their new classic needing repairs and they are expensive. The truck you see in my photo is a fixer upper from a rust bucket, and it has cost its owner a lot. Perhaps, he should have bought a perfect one. Don't ask..
I just want to go on Record and Say there is not 1 thing on my 40 that is even remotely close to reminding me of a thrift store .
I just want to go on Record and Say there is not 1 thing on my 40 that is even remotely close to reminding me of a thrift store .
Smart on your part!Same in the UK Bud.. Govt policies (the elites greed) is pushing everything up n up... l stock my freezers, buy from local farmers markets & l'm developing a small homestead...
Grow a brain, inflation is a function of money supply ( i.e. Federal Reserve) or in our case the over supply of money in the economy. We started down this road when the Fed inflated its balance sheet after the housing crisis in ‘08 -“10 and the Fed did little in the decade following to shrink that stimulus. No President has much influence over monetary policy other than selection of a Fed Chairman who in our case has been in the position since 2018. The Fed simply dropped the ball in addressing the issue in a timely manner, and post covid legislation didn’t help. Pure and simple we over-cooked the economy with an abundance of money at essentially free rates and are paying for the good times.One word explanation... Bidenomics. I can't even buy steaks or groceries like I used to.
It's really a state of the union discussion, cleverly disguised to avoid the black hand.
Before this goes in a political (black hand) discussion let’s keep it focused on overall market reasons for the economy of fj40’s specifically. It’s been a terrific thread with everyone’s input, let’s keep it going. I have been pleasantly surprised at the participation from everyone. Keep it up!Grow a brain, inflation is a function of money supply ( i.e. Federal Reserve) or in our case the over supply of money in the economy. We started down this road when the Fed inflated its balance sheet after the housing crisis in ‘08 -“10 and the Fed did little in the decade following to shrink that stimulus. No President has much influence over monetary policy other than selection of a Fed Chairman who in our case has been in the position since 2018. The Fed simply dropped the ball in addressing the issue in a timely manner, and post covid legislation didn’t help. Pure and simple we over-cooked the economy with an abundance of money at essentially free rates and are paying for the good times.
Prolly another reason for this thread’s existence.
They spent too much time asleep with what they called "transitory inflation" that they let the airplane get ahead of 'em.I’ll say this, the Fed is riding on the back of a tiger right now. Too far one way or another and we are all tiger food.