“We'll see plenty of 200k mile LX570s on original suspension before long.“
But we don’t. Aside from maybe one or few here that claims such, most do not make it to 150k much less 200k without rusting, globes go bad, or just crappy ride.
And just to prove its complexity and high-risk maintenance aspect, a member here recently lamented that no Lexus nor Toyota dealer around him would even touch AHC for maintenance. Just wait till it fails and they will bill you $30k to replace the whole system.
At this point, I think we've established that globes are a suggested maintenance item somewhere in the 150-200k range. If you're lucky enough to avoid rust and only need to replace globes / swap fluid by the time you hit 200k+, I'd call that a win.
I was AHC-delete curious a few months ago due to some vibration issues I was having (turned out to be driveline related). So I snagged takeoff LC shocks and springs for $50 with less than 1k miles on them. Now that I have my shimmy issues resolved, I can see the AHC shine, especially when towing.
To the point of this thread - I do think we'll see more AHC deletes as time moves on, and there will be a growing market segment that tolerates (or even prefers) it. We're not there yet, but soon.
For me, I'll be putting the AHC delete off for as long as I can. If/when the time comes, I'll have some stock LC suspension I can audition before committing to ripping out all of the AHC components or investing in more robust conventional systems.