Yes if the guide brakes then the chain will most likely start to rub on the timing cover, let it go too long and it will eat into the water pump passageways. Metal guide were used on the early 22R engines(????) I know my 86 had plastic guides, when I rebuilt the engine is used metal guides, pretty sure the metal guid is on the passenger side.
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I don't understand all this hype about the metal guides. Guides are designed to limit vibration noises and to stop initial rubbing on cold start ups not to remove slack from chain that's the tensioner's job. So, when the chain expands beyond specs it is time to replace it wither you have metal or OEM guides. At least with OEM you will start hearing rattling noises warning you to pay attention to the problem. While with metal you wont and you will only know when your chain breaks from excessive slack or jump a tooth. And to think that even if the guides are broken that a chain within specs will cut the cover so quickly is hilarious. I have driven 30k miles on broken driver side guide with loud start-up rattling and chain never broke nor cut through to water jacket. When I finally replaced the chain it only put small marks on the cover not even 1mm deep and I am still using the same cover as of today.
Mater of fact I think Toyota designed the plastic OEM and the single chain as a fix for the OLD metal 20r guides and the high drag dual row timing chain and not to cut cost on something of that importance. Toyota ran the 22r line up with plastic guides for 11 years before ending its production. I think they know a thing or two about engine building. The reliability of the 22R came from Toyota not LC engineering ect....
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