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- #41
While I wait for the inspection on the '71, I've been thinking about the FJ40 market here in 2025. A couple observations from someone returning after 15 years:
1) Boy there are a lot of South American 40's here in the states now. Easily more than 1/2 of the trucks I'm seeing for sale are SA. Not particularly interested in one, but they do seem to be an outsized part of the market now. Certainly it is an interesting time if you want a FJ43 or some other non-USA variant and are willing to deal with the potential issues.
2) Prices have softened since the peak a few years ago. They're still up significantly since I bought my last 40 in 2011, but are definitely down from the heights. Really nice no-excuse clean trucks are in the $40K range, with a few exemplary example in the $70's -- but those really are the outliers. I've kept an eye on Bring-A-Trailer to get a sense of the top of the market price-wise, and most of the really nice ones are in the $40s. Again, far cry from 2011 (or 1995 for that matter) but down from the stupid heights they reached a little while ago when I figured I'd never have another 40.
3) The universality of delusional sellers remains constant. The '76 I had inspected is a decent truck, but certainly not the "best one you'll find, absolutely no issues" truck as the seller explained it to me. The prevalent rust in the roof cap and mediocre repaint I guess are not issues? Didn't want to insult by making a low offer, so didn't bother. Another example, I had a '79 inspected at the start of my journey. At the time they were asking $49,995 which would be a real stretch for me, but for an excellent truck I might have been able to make it work. The inspection showed an OK truck at best, with rust coming through the inner fenders in a number of places. Poor paint prep at best, serious issues at worst. I passed.
I just noticed that same '79 is now listed at $68,955! What the actual F***!?! Did they find $20K in cash sewed into the seats?
1979 Toyota Land Cruiser FJ40 $68,955 - Passport Motorsports - https://www.passportmotorsports.com/Listing/390125/1979-Toyota-Land-Cruiser-FJ40.aspx
So it's an interesting market out there. Sellers are still a bit slow to catch up to the current price realities, normal in a period of softening prices. I've watched a few listed locally sit for a while with gradually dropping prices. They're not ones I'm interested in, at least not near their current ask. Really nice stuff still commands good money (just look at one of the Tilda Bogue threads here to see what quality work and parts cost) but everything else is a bit more reasonable.
All in all it's an interesting market, and as a buyer patience is your best tool right now.
1) Boy there are a lot of South American 40's here in the states now. Easily more than 1/2 of the trucks I'm seeing for sale are SA. Not particularly interested in one, but they do seem to be an outsized part of the market now. Certainly it is an interesting time if you want a FJ43 or some other non-USA variant and are willing to deal with the potential issues.
2) Prices have softened since the peak a few years ago. They're still up significantly since I bought my last 40 in 2011, but are definitely down from the heights. Really nice no-excuse clean trucks are in the $40K range, with a few exemplary example in the $70's -- but those really are the outliers. I've kept an eye on Bring-A-Trailer to get a sense of the top of the market price-wise, and most of the really nice ones are in the $40s. Again, far cry from 2011 (or 1995 for that matter) but down from the stupid heights they reached a little while ago when I figured I'd never have another 40.
3) The universality of delusional sellers remains constant. The '76 I had inspected is a decent truck, but certainly not the "best one you'll find, absolutely no issues" truck as the seller explained it to me. The prevalent rust in the roof cap and mediocre repaint I guess are not issues? Didn't want to insult by making a low offer, so didn't bother. Another example, I had a '79 inspected at the start of my journey. At the time they were asking $49,995 which would be a real stretch for me, but for an excellent truck I might have been able to make it work. The inspection showed an OK truck at best, with rust coming through the inner fenders in a number of places. Poor paint prep at best, serious issues at worst. I passed.
I just noticed that same '79 is now listed at $68,955! What the actual F***!?! Did they find $20K in cash sewed into the seats?
1979 Toyota Land Cruiser FJ40 $68,955 - Passport Motorsports - https://www.passportmotorsports.com/Listing/390125/1979-Toyota-Land-Cruiser-FJ40.aspx
So it's an interesting market out there. Sellers are still a bit slow to catch up to the current price realities, normal in a period of softening prices. I've watched a few listed locally sit for a while with gradually dropping prices. They're not ones I'm interested in, at least not near their current ask. Really nice stuff still commands good money (just look at one of the Tilda Bogue threads here to see what quality work and parts cost) but everything else is a bit more reasonable.
All in all it's an interesting market, and as a buyer patience is your best tool right now.