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I think it is an interesting experiment, and am curious what you find out. Have you already removed your roof rails?
If you are already getting 18.5 mpg (U.S. mpg, calculated using distance / gallons, not relying on the display in the car) then you are already doing way better than average. With that kind of fuel economy, your range would be well over 200 miles. I just don't see how you could realistically expect to improve on that. But I am interested in reading about it, so continue on.
My suggestions to improve fuel economy would be :
block heater (to reduce warmup enrichment time)
0w-30 oil with ceratec additive
krytox in all wheel bearings
electric cooling fan
turn off A/C
etc. etc.
I like your thoughts on the block heater, tell me more about the ceratec additive please.
I don't plan on removing anything or modifying oils to improve mileage, this is just a winter experiment for now.
I'm all for cool experiments, but doesn't adding all this stuff sort of out weight the cost of the fuel savings? Haha, like "I saved $200 on gas this winter! Only cost me $300!"
Uhhh, the grill blocks were free, and the deck plate mod might cost me $25?
I do not understand how u get better MPG with warmer air. Cold air is denser, which provides more power. Similar to driving at a lower elevation. If u have more power, but still drive the same speed as summer time, it should thus require less throttle to maintain that speed, and thus give the same MPG. Either way your chasing .5 MPG better mileage, and gas is cheap right now. I would focus your time on something else. The few years gas was really expensive 5 years ago, made many people very worried about MPG. Some still are even though gas is cheap.
Think of it this way, the same volume of air is drawn into a cylinder during the intake stroke, and in order for complete combustion to happen fuel trims need to be adjusted according to air temp (colder air requires more fuel because it is more dense than warm air). You are correct saying that colder air makes more power, but it doesn't just happen w/o a direct correlation with more fuel. You cannot just add more fuel to warm air and expect more power, as you would run rich do to incomplete combustion. But you can dump more fuel w/ cold air and to create more power and still have ideal mixtures/combustion.
There is also a reason people put grill blocks on in colder climates. Engines have an ideal operating temp range. Too hot or too cold and you out not at peak efficiency. Along with aerodynamic improvements from blocking the grill, you will increase engine efficiency by allowing your engine to stay warmer in cold conditions.
My goal isn't 0.5 mpg improvements, it is to retain my warm weather fuel efficiency during the winter months. I don't know how the GX470 operates in the cold, but as I stated in the OP I was able to overcome 3-4mpg decreases in cold weather on my 02 CRV by blocking my grill and drawing in warm air.