Hurricane
- Thread starter Texican
- Start date
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^ dang govt machine I cant go to it. I do know that he is a weather forecaster in NOLA. I bet he has a good site. will look at home.
After reading the comments on my blog, it's obvious many of you view the same info that I do. Rather than repeat what you already know, let me give you my take. 1) it has picked up forward speed (20 mph) which will make it very difficult to make a sharp turn to the north. 2) It is a tropical storm that could become a strong hurricane IF it goes over the loop current in the central Gulf. 3) Models have been and continue to be all over the place. Remember the ECMWF had Isaac going to Pt. Arthur 2 days ago, now take him to MOB...as does this morning's run of VIPIR. Models don't do well with weak storms. 4) Today is our "pay attention" day as Isaac enters the Gulf. Will he strengthen as NHC predicts? Remember they had predicted Gustav would become a Cat. 4 when he was coming off Cuba, but he never did get that strong. Translation...don't get caught up in intensity numbers as NHC struggles with that aspect of prediction. 5) Focus on center line...however, a hurricane has different effects depending on which side of that line you are. Our concern is NHC keeps shifting that line closer to us. If that trend continues today, we'll need to prepare for the worst (power outages, flooding outside levee system) on Tuesday-Wednesday. If Isaac goes to MOB, we'll see little impacts on LA.. 6) I'm getting on a plane and heading back to MSY. FOX 8 will have an expanded 9-10:30 PM newscast tonight with updates thru out the day. See you soon & stay tuned! I'll update this PM.
^ thanks Nolen.
My take..Isaac is picking up speed due to getting away from that warm dry air off Cuba. this is GOOD as we want land fall ASAP. The longer it has to drink the warm moisture in the Gulf the bigger it will get.
Remember Katrina was only a CAT 3 but with characteristics of a CAT 5 as far as storm surge and wind BECAUSE it took so dadgum long to get ashore. It also was plotted to hit alabama, then Ms, then NOLA, then back to Gulfport..then hammered Pass Christian...bottom line...per the above post....the next 12 hours will dictate the strength.
NOTE...Im not a weather man, but I did sleep at a holiday inn last night. (Nolen did you do weather in your intel work...I had to for 2 years and I still get into it...obviously)
My take..Isaac is picking up speed due to getting away from that warm dry air off Cuba. this is GOOD as we want land fall ASAP. The longer it has to drink the warm moisture in the Gulf the bigger it will get.
Remember Katrina was only a CAT 3 but with characteristics of a CAT 5 as far as storm surge and wind BECAUSE it took so dadgum long to get ashore. It also was plotted to hit alabama, then Ms, then NOLA, then back to Gulfport..then hammered Pass Christian...bottom line...per the above post....the next 12 hours will dictate the strength.
NOTE...Im not a weather man, but I did sleep at a holiday inn last night. (Nolen did you do weather in your intel work...I had to for 2 years and I still get into it...obviously)
sheesh....Disney world is getting a BATH!
Jackson is going to get some serious rain.
oh my gosh...I need beer....you are right Mike!!
my new sport...sitting in the garage and watching it rain....will reach olympic standards tomorrow night.
my new sport...sitting in the garage and watching it rain....will reach olympic standards tomorrow night.
I will expect a play by play on mud. Oh yeah pics too! I miss the occasional hurricane party.
^ well you know where my garage is and how to get in!!
but absolutely...im amazed im not on the coast right now. I guess promotion and a new unit position and they forgot about me!! whatever ill happily sit one out at the house.
I will be posting pics live from the centennial Isaac aint' got nothin on me hurricane observation deck in my garage im sure
but absolutely...im amazed im not on the coast right now. I guess promotion and a new unit position and they forgot about me!! whatever ill happily sit one out at the house.
I will be posting pics live from the centennial Isaac aint' got nothin on me hurricane observation deck in my garage im sure
Bodean
Hot Damn
I say we meet at Bonny Blair's for a few brewskis one night and watch it rain from there! They have a few of the new beers on tap there. Holla
Im in...i live 3 minutes away.
and my dumb stupid $*^& brother and his wife are staying despite my argument. ridiculous....ill be high (elevation wise), somewhat dry, and drinking here.
The sad thing is I've talked to some people who left during Katrina and were
just trying to get things in order to move back. Cool place but better to visit
than live there.
The few family members that still call NOLA home have bugged out and are heading for family in the BR area. Talked to Dad today and, for now, they are planning to ride it out in Livingston Parish. It's hard to move him due to his health issues so I'll be watching this close. I just serviced his back-up emergency generator so I know they are in good shape there. Y'all keep them in your thoughts please.
Y'all keep them in your thoughts please.[/QUOTE]
Will do. Hope nobody has any problems!
Will do. Hope nobody has any problems!
Will do, Daryl! If he's half the BAMF you are, he'll be fine. Nevertheless, prayers sent!