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Ok - here is my understanding of oil.
Speculation has driven the price of oil up by approx. $10/barrel. China and India have come on the worldwide scene as oil users in the last 10 years from a level of almost nil to now being big users. US refinery capacity has not increased much at all over the last 20 years.
It's a supply / demand curve in it's almost purest form. You have a finite resource (roughly) - which is oil. Worldwide demand has skyrocketed, while global supplies have remained steady.
However, here is an interesting factoid that most of you do not realize - currently the US doesn't import a whole lot of oil from the Middle East.
EDIT: We import about 18% of our supply from the ME.
If crude keeps climbing, it will soon be feasible to convert coal and other materials into gasoline. I promise you OPEC does not want to see that happen. We are the Saudi Arabia of coal in the world.
Google thermal depolymerization.
Last edited by wob; 04-01-08 at 07:50 PM.
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